Game Result Predictions
Saturday, September 29

The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Arizona Stadium Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
USC (5-7) 24 28 +3.0 39% 33 -8.5 77%
Arizona (5-7) 20 31 -3.0 61% 25 +8.5 23%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Sun Devil Stadium Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Oregon State (2-10) 24 23 +26.0 3% 21 +31.0 1%
Arizona State (7-6) 52 49 -26.0 97% 52 -31.0 99%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Memorial Stadium Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Oregon (9-4) 42 24 -3.0 61% 34 -24.0 97%
California (7-6) 24 21 +3.0 39% 10 +24.0 3%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Notre Dame Stadium Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Stanford (9-4) 17 16 +12.0 16% 11 +22.5 4%
Notre Dame (12-1) 38 28 -12.0 84% 33 -22.5 96%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Husky Stadium Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
BYU (7-6) 7 13 +9.0 22% 0 +36.0 1%
Washington (10-4) 35 22 -9.0 78% 36 -36.0 99%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Martin Stadium Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Utah (9-5) 24 23 +8.0 24% 21 +11.5 16%
Washington State (11-2) 28 31 -8.0 76% 33 -11.5 84%

Saturday, September 29 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 83%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 100%
 
Overall Results (872 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 77%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 73%
 
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.