Game Result Predictions
Saturday, September 29
Saturday, September 29
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Arizona Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
USC (5-7) | 24 | 28 | +3.0 | 39% | ✘ | 33 | -8.5 | 77% | ✔ | |
Arizona (5-7) | 20 | 31 | -3.0 | 61% | 25 | +8.5 | 23% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Sun Devil Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
Oregon State (2-10) | 24 | 23 | +26.0 | 3% | ✔ | 21 | +31.0 | 1% | ✔ | |
Arizona State (7-6) | 52 | 49 | -26.0 | 97% | 52 | -31.0 | 99% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Memorial Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
Oregon (9-4) | 42 | 24 | -3.0 | 61% | ✔ | 34 | -24.0 | 97% | ✔ | |
California (7-6) | 24 | 21 | +3.0 | 39% | 10 | +24.0 | 3% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Notre Dame Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
Stanford (9-4) | 17 | 16 | +12.0 | 16% | ✔ | 11 | +22.5 | 4% | ✔ | |
Notre Dame (12-1) | 38 | 28 | -12.0 | 84% | 33 | -22.5 | 96% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Husky Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
BYU (7-6) | 7 | 13 | +9.0 | 22% | ✔ | 0 | +36.0 | 1% | ✔ | |
Washington (10-4) | 35 | 22 | -9.0 | 78% | 36 | -36.0 | 99% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Martin Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
Utah (9-5) | 24 | 23 | +8.0 | 24% | ✔ | 21 | +11.5 | 16% | ✔ | |
Washington State (11-2) | 28 | 31 | -8.0 | 76% | 33 | -11.5 | 84% |
Saturday, September 29 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 83%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 100%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 83%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 100%
Overall Results (872 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 77%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 73%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 77%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 73%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.